WTK Data Desk
Numbers, probability models and the math behind each prediction.
The Data Desk runs FIFA-ranking-weighted models, group-stage probability simulations and standings projections for World Cup 2026. We show our methodology so readers can argue with the math instead of the verdict.
What this desk covers
FIFA ranking sum analysis (Group of Death framing, Pot allocation impact)
Group-stage standings probability under different result scenarios
Knockout bracket strength comparison and historical baselines
Cross-checking received wisdom against the actual numbers
Latest from Data Desk (18)
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DataArgentina's World Cup 2026 Path: KC, Miami, Atlanta, Back -
GroupWorld Cup 2026 Group I: France, Senegal, Norway, Iraq -
GroupWorld Cup 2026 Group K: Portugal, Colombia, Uzbekistan -
GroupWorld Cup 2026 Group J: Argentina, Algeria, Austria, Jordan -
DataWorld Cup Group of Death 2026: Brazil, Morocco Are #1 -
GroupWorld Cup 2026 Group L: England, Croatia, Ghana, Panama -
GroupWorld Cup 2026 Group F: Netherlands, Japan, Sweden, Tunisia -
GroupWorld Cup 2026 Group G: Belgium, Iran, Egypt, New Zealand -
GroupWorld Cup 2026 Group H: Spain, Uruguay, Saudi Arabia -
DataIran World Cup 2026 Group G Fixtures: Taremi Preview -
GroupWorld Cup 2026 Group D Preview: USA, Paraguay, Australia, Türkiye -
GroupWorld Cup 2026 Group E Preview: Germany, Ecuador, Ivory Coast, Curaçao -
GroupWorld Cup 2026 Group C Preview: Brazil, Morocco, Scotland, Haiti -
GroupWorld Cup 2026 Group B Preview: Canada, Switzerland, Qatar, Bosnia -
DataFIFA Qualifiers and Ranking 2026: Why It Still Mattered -
GroupWorld Cup 2026 Group A: Mexico, Korea, Czechia, South Africa -
DataIran at World Cup 2026: FIFA Ranking, Group G, Politics -
DataWorld Cup 2026 Predictor: Probability Model Puts England Top